Scott Alexander, curated
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Survey Results: Suffering Vs. Oblivion

Quality
60
Strong
Claude Shift
38
Slight
RWI
2
of 10

Summary

Survey-results post (n=1090) on suffering-vs-oblivion preferences (work-16hr-McDonalds-forever vs die; long-unhappy vs short-happy; 100 trillion miserable vs 1 million happy; Heaven/Hell certainty threshold). Tests five hypotheses: people split with strong feelings (confirmed); a weak general oblivion-vs-suffering factor (weakly confirmed); it does NOT predict population-ethics views; weak correlations with euthanasia/cryonics/happiness. Finding: people's death-vs-suffering intuitions are very different, inconsistent, and only weakly cross-situational -- undercutting the consequentialist hope that everyone agrees deep down. Has analysis signal, so scored as a substantive survey writeup, not a bare stub.

Why this score

Quality 60 · Strong. A competent survey-analysis with a mildly interesting finding (moral intuitions about death/suffering are inconsistent), but modest in scope and insight. Solid.

Claude’s paradigm shift 38 · Slight. Slight-to-Moderate. An exploratory survey of a question; modest novelty.

Real-world impact 2 · Minor. A competent survey-analysis with a mildly interesting finding (death/suffering intuitions are inconsistent); modest in scope, discourse-internal, with no material reach → RWI 2.