Scott Alexander, curated
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Holocaust Good For You, Research Finds, But Frequent Taunting Causes Cancer In Rats

Quality
67
Strong
Claude Shift
50
Moderate
RWI
2
of 10

Summary

A sharp meta-science piece juxtaposing two same-month PLoS One studies: fat-shaming causes weight gain (the result the authors wanted) vs. Holocaust survivors outlive control Jews (a result they didn't want, spun as 'posttraumatic growth'). The payoff: psychology has a store of CONTRADICTORY cached thoughts — 'stress makes you miserable/unhealthy' and 'adversity makes you grow stronger' both sound reasonable — so whatever happens, some theory retroactively 'predicts' it, and people selectively deploy whichever excuses or condemns as convenient. Scott gives calibrated odds on each result (50% the fat one is real; 90% the Holocaust one is survivor-effect/caloric-restriction, not growth). Memorable point about the ease of narrative-switching.

Why this score

Quality 67 · Strong. Strong (67): a memorable, oft-cited point (contradictory cached thoughts support any conclusion) delivered via a sharp study juxtaposition; held mid-Strong as a short single-insight essay.

Claude’s paradigm shift 50 · Moderate. Moderate (50): the contradictory-cached-thoughts-via-juxtaposition framing is a fresh, clarifying angle on how psychology explains everything post hoc.

Real-world impact 2 · Minor. Minor-plus (2): the narrative-flexibility point circulates in rationalist meta-science discussion; limited footprint.