Scott Alexander, curated
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Apart From Better Sanitation And Medicine And Education And Irrigation And Public Health And Roads And Public Order, What Has Modernity Done For Us?

Quality
66
Strong
Claude Shift
48
Moderate
RWI
2
of 10

Summary

Part of Scott's anti-Reactionary sequence, rebutting the claim (from Michael Anissimov et al.) that modernity breeds more/worse 'total' war. Marshals the Pinker/Goldstein/Human Security Report decline-of-violence data, then -- to meet the 'too short a timescale' objection -- does his own rough analysis: combs Wikipedia's >1M-death wars, scales by 2005 population, buckets by era, and finds no upward trend (1900-50 worst, 1600-1700 second; the two most recent eras by far the most peaceful). Notes the study is biased toward the Reactionaries (the <1M cutoff drops more pre-modern wars; modern tech inflates kill counts) and that within any era the least-progressive states fight most.

Why this score

Quality 66 · Strong. Strong (66). A clean, fair empirical rebuttal that does its own (acknowledged-rough) quantitative history rather than just asserting -- the 'do the work nobody else did' check Scott is valued for, with a nice self-aware bias audit. Held in mid-Strong, not Excellent: a narrow companion piece leaning on others' (Pinker/Goldstein) headline finding with rough Wikipedia data. Scored on merit without early-cohort compression (a 2013 post, deliberately not docked for age).

Claude’s paradigm shift 48 · Moderate. Moderate (48). The core decline-of-violence thesis is Pinker's/Goldstein's, not Scott's; novelty is the fresh application against Reaction plus the own-data era analysis -- a moderate synthesis, not a new frame.

Real-world impact 2 · Minor. 2 -- minor/within-blog. A self-contained argument within the influential-but-niche anti-Reactionary discourse; cited in the 'is modernity more violent' debate, no material footprint.