Scott Alexander, curated
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AndrewH's observation and opportunity costs

Quality
71
Strong
Claude Shift
44
Moderate
RWI
2
of 10

Summary

A crisp correction to opportunity-cost reasoning: for any agent that doesn't already use its resources with maximum efficiency, the opportunity cost of a use should be reckoned as the value of what you'll ACTUALLY do with the resources instead, not the best possible use. Three examples land it — cutting NASA's budget doesn't fund world hunger (it funds pork and $12,000 staplers); 'cryocrastinating' your cryonics money doesn't send it to the Singularity Institute (it goes to coffee and plasma TVs); and the recurring beggar case, where refusing to give because 'a real charity would do more good' leaves you giving to no one, so you'd have done better just giving the beggar the money.

Why this score

Quality 71 · Strong. Strong-ish. A clean, genuinely useful, and frequently-echoed insight (realistic vs theoretical opportunity cost; the beggar example recurs in his later writing), delivered crisply. Held below the meatier essays only because it's short and makes a single point.

Claude’s paradigm shift 44 · Moderate. Notable — the realistic-counterfactual correction to opportunity-cost reasoning is a fresh, useful framing.

Real-world impact 2 · Minor. A crisp, frequently-echoed correction to opportunity-cost reasoning (reckon the value of what you'll ACTUALLY do with resources, not the best possible use — cutting NASA funds pork, not world hunger; the recurring beggar example). Conceptual influence within rationalist discourse, short single-point, no material change — low RWI.