ACX/Metaculus Prediction Contest 2026

A very short announcement that the 2026 ACX/Metaculus prediction contest is live on Metaculus (reader-suggested questions across politics/AI/international affairs/culture, $10,000 prize pool, January 17 snapshot), plus a list of the best-question-submission winners. Essentially administrative — participation instructions and a credits list, with almost no standalone content.

Quality 48 · Solid. Solid-floor / low (48, deep-tail). A bare contest announcement with a winners list; near-minimal content, held just off the floor because it is a real, substantive recurring contest rather than pure admin.

Claude’s paradigm shift 24 · Slight. Slight (24). A recurring contest announcement; no novelty.

Real-world impact 1 · Negligible. 1 — an announcement of a recurring contest; negligible durable effect.