2023 Prediction Contest
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Summary
Admin post launching the 2023 Prediction Contest / 50-question benchmark set (Blind vs Full Mode, prizes, the plan to correlate personality traits with forecasting accuracy via the ACX survey). A bit more substance than a bare admin post (the benchmark-standard + blind/full-mode design), but fundamentally a contest announcement.
Why this score
Quality 50 · Solid. Solid floor: forecasting-contest admin with a little design substance; batch floor alongside the Asterisk linkpost.
Claude’s paradigm shift 25 · Slight. Slight/None: routine admin.
Real-world impact 1 · Negligible. Admin post for a recurring institution; negligible reach itself. =1.