Scott Alexander, curated
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Absurdity Bias, Neom Edition

Quality
69
Strong
Claude Shift
48
Moderate
RWI
1
of 10

Summary

Responds to Alexandros's worry that Scott's anti-Neom mockery relied on the (biased) absurdity heuristic. Scott does real epistemics: everything bottoms out in absurdity arguments at some level; the communication rule (stop at the first level your interlocutors accept); the thinking-alone problem (which assumptions to question, infinite-regress); Yudkowsky's three absurdity-bias failure cases; and his own 'mediocre answer' (calibration, social epistemology, occasional deep-dives, examine-why-a-belief-reached-you).

Why this score

Quality 69 · Strong. Strong: a genuinely good piece of rationalist epistemics on when the absurdity heuristic is/isn't valid, honest about the infinite-regress problem.

Claude’s paradigm shift 48 · Moderate. Notable: the where-to-stop-the-regress framing + the practical partial-answer.

Real-world impact 1 · Negligible. Within-blog epistemics; negligible material reach. =1.